AI与前沿科技
Google 下一代 Gemini Pro 模型哪天向公众开放?
- 预定截止
- 2026/11/02 07:59(北京时间)Polymarket 标注的计划截止时间,实际可能提前或延后
- 停止交易
- 2026/11/02 15:02(北京时间)
- 官方裁决
- 停止交易后由裁决来源确认结果,通常晚于截止时间
- 页面生成时间
- 2026/11/08 00:59(北京时间)
本站详情
加入后由本站观察市场概率变化并按规则提醒,不连接钱包、不下单。
结算结果
结算结果:No release by November 1
结算前概率:99.9%
走势:数据记录中
结算说明
裁决来源:Google 官方发布与公开可用性
以 Google 下一个标注为 Pro 的 Gemini 模型向公众(含公开测试)开放的美东日期为准,封闭测试或私下访问不算;仅 Flash 等非 Pro 型号不算。依据 Google 官方信息,并以可信媒体报道核实。
展开各子结果的单独规则(共 9 条)收起各子结果的单独规则
Prior to August 31
该结果的截止:2026/09/01 07:59(北京时间)
August 31–September 6
该结果的截止:2026/09/07 07:59(北京时间)
September 7–September 13
该结果的截止:2026/09/14 07:59(北京时间)
September 14–September 20
该结果的截止:2026/09/21 07:59(北京时间)
September 21–September 27
该结果的截止:2026/09/28 07:59(北京时间)
September 28–October 4
该结果的截止:2026/10/05 07:59(北京时间)
October 5–October 11
该结果的截止:2026/10/12 07:59(北京时间)
October 12–October 18
该结果的截止:2026/10/19 07:59(北京时间)
October 19–October 25
该结果的截止:2026/10/26 07:59(北京时间)
查看完整英文规则
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
概率来自 Polymarket 公开市场价格,是市场当前对事件的预测,不构成交易建议。