地缘大选与冲突
2025 年纽约市长选举
- 结算截止
- 2025/11/04 20:00(北京时间)
- 页面生成时间
- 2026/10/22 00:19(北京时间)
结算结果
结算结果:Zohran Mamdani
2025 年纽约市长选举已经结束,累计交易额约 4.30 亿美元,适合回看选举定价。
结算前概率:100.0%
走势:数据记录中
结算说明
裁决来源:纽约市官方选举信息与权威媒体共识
以纽约市 2025 年市长选举最终结果为准。
查看完整英文规则
The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the candidate wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.
The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
概率来自 Polymarket 公开市场价格,仅表示市场当前定价,不是客观预测,也不构成交易建议。