美联储与央行
美联储 9 月利率决策
- 结算截止
- 2026/09/16 08:00(北京时间)
- 页面生成时间
- 2026/10/22 00:17(北京时间)
结算结果
结算结果:加息0.25个百分点
美联储 2026 年 9 月利率决议已经结束,保留用于复盘,不再作为当前市场定价。
结算前概率:99.9%
走势:数据记录中
结算说明
裁决来源:FOMC 会后声明
以美联储官方声明中的联邦基金目标区间上限变化为准。市场负责押注预期,官方决议负责最终结算。
查看完整英文规则
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
概率来自 Polymarket 公开市场价格,仅表示市场当前定价,不是客观预测,也不构成交易建议。