美联储与央行
美联储 10/11 月利率决策
- 预定截止
- 2026/10/29 11:59(北京时间)Polymarket 标注的计划截止时间,实际可能提前或延后
- 停止交易
- 2026/10/29 04:01(北京时间)
- 官方裁决
- 停止交易后由裁决来源确认结果,通常晚于截止时间
- 页面生成时间
- 2026/11/08 00:59(北京时间)
本站详情
加入后由本站观察市场概率变化并按规则提醒,不连接钱包、不下单。
结算结果
结算结果:维持利率不变
结算前概率:99.9%
走势:数据记录中
结算说明
裁决来源:FOMC 会后声明
以会后官方声明中的目标利率区间变动为准。
查看完整英文规则
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
概率来自 Polymarket 公开市场价格,是市场当前对事件的预测,不构成交易建议。