美联储与央行

美联储 2026 年 1 月利率决策

结算截止
2026/01/28 08:00(北京时间)
页面生成时间
2026/10/22 00:16(北京时间)

结算结果

结算结果:维持利率不变

2026 年 1 月 FOMC 决议已经结束,累计交易额约 6.59 亿美元,适合做政策预期复盘。

结算前概率:99.9%

走势:数据记录中

结算说明

裁决来源:美联储 FOMC 会后声明

以美联储 2026 年 1 月会议后的官方利率声明为准。

查看完整英文规则

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 27 - 28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

概率来自 Polymarket 公开市场价格,仅表示市场当前定价,不是客观预测,也不构成交易建议。