美联储与央行
日本央行(BOJ)9 月利率决议:是否加息?
- 结算截止
- 2026/09/18 23:59(北京时间)
- 页面生成时间
- 2026/10/22 00:20(北京时间)
结算结果
结算结果:加息0.25个百分点
日本央行 2026 年 9 月利率决议已经结束,保留用于复盘,不再作为当前市场定价。
结算前概率:99.9%
走势:数据记录中
结算说明
裁决来源:日本银行(BOJ)政策委员会官方公告
以日本央行货币政策会议结束后的官方政策决议为唯一判定依据。
查看完整英文规则
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Resolution source: https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm
概率来自 Polymarket 公开市场价格,仅表示市场当前定价,不是客观预测,也不构成交易建议。