商业巨头与资本
亚马逊 2026 年底的市值会落在哪个区间?
- 预定截止
- 2027/01/01 07:59(北京时间)Polymarket 标注的计划截止时间,实际可能提前或延后
- 官方裁决
- 停止交易后由裁决来源确认结果,通常晚于截止时间
- 页面生成时间
- 2026/11/08 00:59(北京时间)
本站详情
加入后由本站观察市场概率变化并按规则提醒,不连接钱包、不下单。
各选项当前概率
- $2.50-$3.00T49.5%-1.0pp
- $3.00-$3.50T23.4%-2.3pp
- $2.00-$2.50T16.6%+1.1pp
- 低于 $2.00T6.3%-0.1pp
- $4.50T+0.6%暂无
- $4.00-$4.50T0.5%暂无
- $3.50-$4.00T0.3%-1.8pp
走势:数据记录中
结算说明
裁决来源:收盘价与总股本(权威行情数据)
以亚马逊在 2026 年最后一个交易日常规交易收盘价计算的公开市值为准;恰好落在区间分界时归入较高一档。
查看完整英文规则
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
概率来自 Polymarket 公开市场价格,是市场当前对事件的预测,不构成交易建议。